Quantitative Research · Strategic Analytics · PhD in Political Science
Translating complex data into actionable intelligence for organizations
operating in high-uncertainty environments.
I am a data strategist and applied researcher based in Rostock, Germany, with a PhD in Political Science from the University of Rostock and more than fifteen years of experience designing and executing complex research projects across Europe and Latin America.
My work sits at the intersection of quantitative social science, strategic intelligence, and data visualization. I build the analytical pipelines, statistical models, and interactive dashboards that turn raw political and social data into clear, decision-ready intelligence.
I have worked with diplomatic missions, international organizations, research institutions, and multilateral organizations on political risk and economic dynamics. I also founded CENSUM, a data and political research consultancy operating since 2014.
I have contributed political analysis and opinion pieces to international media outlets in Germany, the Netherlands, Spain, Venezuela, Ecuador, and Brazil, including DW (Germany), RNW (Netherlands), La Razón & Agenda Pública (Spain), Efecto Cocuyo (Venezuela), El Universo (Ecuador), and many others.
Six core capabilities deployed — individually or in combination — to solve complex research, strategy, and intelligence challenges.
Selected research outputs presented as live, interactive analyses. Data, methodology, and visualizations embedded directly.
Original five-category typology for illicit petroleum markets developed by Dr. Briceño (2025), combining qualitative comparative analysis with geospatial visualization via D3.js/TopoJSON. Filterable choropleth world map covering 15 countries across 4 continents.
| Country | Region | Type | Est. Losses/yr | Key Actors |
|---|
Six binary indicators across two dimensions: Administrative Risk (new centers, size ≤500 voters, voter variation >±15%) and Electoral Risk (abstention >50% or <11.4%, opposition dominance >75%, government dominance >75%). Composite Global Risk Index: 0–4. Data: Registro Electoral preliminar, April 2024; Elecciones Regionales 2021.
"The world is polarized into two nearly equal blocs — 50 stable autocracies and 50 stable democracies — with zero crossings between poles over 20 years."
Autocracy share grew from 33.9% (2006) to 36.5% (2026). The sharpest contraction is in unstable regimes — the middle ground is shrinking as countries polarize toward either pole.
Original five-category regime typology (Stable Autocracies, New Autocracies, Unstable Regimes, New Democracies, Stable Democracies) based on BTI Democracy Status trajectories across 11 biennial waves. Analysis: descriptive statistics, one-way ANOVA, and Random Forest classification (5-fold cross-validation, 71.5% accuracy). This typology is not part of BTI's official classification.
Briceño, H. (December 2024). Escenarios Sociopolíticos Venezuela 2025. La lucha por la legitimidad postelectoral. Elaborado para Ideas por la Democracia, Caracas. Methodology: 4-stage scenario construction with civil society leaders (May 2023–December 2024).
Available for research consulting, strategic analytics projects, and data intelligence engagements — remotely or on-site in Germany and Europe.